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Bitcoin Wealth Transfer Indicates an Inflection Point in the Market Cycle

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Bitcoin Wealth Transfer Indicates an Inflection Point in the Market Cycle



  • the one-day to three-month HODL band for Bitcoin has increased by 86%.
  • 1-year HODL wave is probably going to decline.
  • BTC prices continue to consolidate.

New investors are gradually replacing experienced long-term holders of Bitcoin. This recommends that the market cycle is at a progress point, as indicated by on-chain examination.

On-chain investigation supplier Glassnode dug into HODL waves to uncover that an abundance move has been happening.

It stated, “This suggests that the transfer of wealth is occurring from experienced holders to newer demand.” Additionally, the company stated that it was a common occurrence at cycle inflection points.



Transition to a Bitcoin Bull Market?

On-chain data is used by HODL Waves to show the amount of BTC in circulation divided into age groups and represented by different colors. They are used to gauge the activities of various groups with their coins.

The one-day to three-month band has risen since the cycle low, as shown by the expansion on the chart. Additionally, Glassnode reported an 86% increase from 11.5% to 21.4% at the present time.

bitcoin hodl






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Bitcoin analyst Philip Swift predicted that BTC prices would begin to rise and the one-year HODL wave would begin to trend downward.

“Because when new participants (new demand) enter, HODL’ers who accumulated at the lows will begin to sell to them at higher prices.”

In addition, Bitcoin prices are currently above a number of important long-term indicators. BTC is at present over the 200-week moving normal, which is at $25,818, as per Charm Graphs. During the December cycle low, this historical level of support was breached.

Furthermore, it exceeds the Realized Price of $19,914. This metric measures the value of all coins at their most recent price. It could also be interpreted as a rough estimate of what the market as a whole paid for their coins.

BeInCrypto said last week that after a long time of low volumes, more volatility was expected. However, due to the ongoing consolidation, it has not yet materialized.



Bitcoin Price Outlook

Although BTC prices have slightly increased, crypto markets remain sluggish. At the time of writing, the asset was up from an intraday low of $26,715 to a price of $26,952.

Lower levels are at $25,000, a price not seen since mid-March, and support is currently at $26,200. On the plus side, for Bitcoin to make any significant gains, it would need to break through resistance at $28,000.




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